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Global Geothermal Power Market Review 2026.

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Global Geothermal Power: Policies, Funding, Wells, Strengths, Opportunities and Barriers Geothermal is moving into a broader investment cycle. In 2026, the story is no longer limited to volcanic power plants in a few classic markets; it now includes enhanced geothermal systems, closed-loop designs, district heating, superhot rock, lithium from brines and industrial heat. Across the United States, Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Iceland, France and Italy, the sector is being shaped by a simple question: who is de-risking the first wells, and who is ready to finance the next ones?  United States: the next-generation testbed The United States has the broadest geothermal innovation ecosystem in this group, with a mature conventional base in the West and a fast-growing next-generation pipeline. The main policy signal in 2026 is the Department of Energy’s US$171.5 million funding opportunity for next-generation geothermal field-scale tests, exploration...
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Superhot Rock Geothermal Energy and AI Data Centers: The Global Race for Firm Clean Power

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Superhot Rock Geothermal: The Countries Racing to Power AI Data Centers and Industry Superhot rock geothermal is moving from a research frontier toward a serious clean-power strategy. The strongest current momentum is in New Zealand, Iceland, Japan, Norway, Italy, and the United States, where international collaboration is already underway and major reports now treat superhot rock as part of the future energy mix . AI is one of the biggest reasons this matters now. Data centers need massive amounts of continuous electricity, and geothermal is attractive because it can provide firm 24/7 power without the intermittency problems that complicate wind and solar for always-on workloads . Why superhot rock matters Superhot rock geothermal refers to geothermal systems that access rock at very high temperatures, often above 400°C, by drilling deep into the subsurface and extracting heat with engineered wells and circulation systems . The basic idea is simple: go deeper, reach hotter rock, and ...
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Geothermal Data Centers for AI: How Hyperscale AI Data Centers Use 24/7 Carbon‑Free Baseload Geothermal Power for Cooling, Reliability and Sustainable Energy

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Geothermal Data Centers: Why AI Is Driving the Next Wave of Geothermal Demand By: Robert Buluma Explore how hyperscale AI data centers are creating demand for 24/7 carbon-free electricity and why geothermal is becoming an attractive solution. Cover power requirements, cooling, reliability, and opportunities for geothermal developers. Artificial intelligence is changing the physics of the internet, turning data centers into some of the most energy‑hungry buildings on the planet and they now need clean, round‑the‑clock power that solar and wind alone can’t easily provide. Geothermal is suddenly moving from niche to strategic, becoming a compelling way to power and cool hyperscale AI data centers with 24/7 carbon‑free baseload electricity.  The AI Data Center Energy Crunch AI data centers are not like traditional server farms that mostly handle web traffic and cloud storage. They run intensive GPU clusters for training and inference, drawing massive and constant loads of power. In th...
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Borealis and Landsvirkjun 12 MW Power Agreement: Iceland’s Renewable Energy Boost for AI Data Centers

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Borealis and Landsvirkjun Sign a 12 MW Power Purchasing Agreement: What It Means for Iceland’s Data Center Future By: Robert Buluma Iceland has become one of the world’s most interesting destinations for data center development, and the latest agreement between Borealis Data Center and Landsvirkjun adds another important chapter to that story. The two companies have signed a long-term deal for an additional 12 MW of firm power to support Borealis’ growing operations in Blönduós, reflecting both the rapid rise of artificial intelligence infrastructure and Iceland’s position as a renewable-energy hub. This is not just a routine energy contract. It is a signal that Iceland’s digital economy is moving into a new phase, where clean electricity, cool climate, and advanced computing are beginning to converge into a strategic national advantage. The agreement comes at a time when global demand for AI-ready infrastructure is rising quickly. Data centers are no longer just storage facilities; th...
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Top 10 Critical Geothermal Energy Problems Costs Risks Seismicity

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Top 10 Geothermal Problems: Why a 24/7 Resource Still Struggles to Scale Image credit : Fida, C.E.O Geosilica... This is what scaling looks like downhole in geothermal pipes Intelligence; Strategy for the Geothermal Decade Geothermal energy is often presented as the clean firm resource that can support a renewable electricity system around the clock. It does not depend on sunshine, it can operate through calm weather, and it can provide heat and power for decades. Kenya already relies heavily on geothermal generation , Iceland uses geothermal heat across its economy, and next generation developers are now signing large power contracts with technology companies seeking reliable carbon free electricity. Yet the global geothermal sector remains small compared with solar and wind, with installed electricity capacity still near 16 GW.  That gap is not caused by one obstacle. It is produced by a chain of interlocking problems involving geology, drilling, finance, permitting, public acce...
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Serbia Advances Mišeluk Geothermal District Heating Project in Novi Sad

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Serbia Advances Geothermal Drilling for the Mišeluk District Heating Plant in Novi Sad Serbia is moving forward with plans to develop a geothermal district heating system in Mišeluk, a rapidly urbanizing area of Novi Sad. The project is intended to place geothermal energy at the centre of a new low-carbon heating network, supported by solar power and natural gas backup. Exploratory drilling and construction of the heat distribution network are being carried out by JKP Novosadska toplana, Novi Sad’s public district heating utility. The initiative is supported through the United Nations Development Programme’s “Geothermal Energy in Serbia” programme, with financial backing from Slovakia.  The Mišeluk project is important not only because it could provide a new renewable heat source for Novi Sad, but also because it demonstrates how geothermal energy can be integrated into urban development from the earliest planning stages. Rather than retrofitting a geothermal system into an establi...
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Global Geothermal Power Market Review 2026.

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Global Geothermal Power: Policies, Funding, Wells, Strengths, Opportunities and Barriers Geothermal is moving into a broader investment cycle. In 2026, the story is no longer limited to volcanic power plants in a few classic markets; it now includes enhanced geothermal systems, closed-loop designs, district heating, superhot rock, lithium from brines and industrial heat. Across the United States, Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Iceland, France and Italy, the sector is being shaped by a simple question: who is de-risking the first wells, and who is ready to finance the next ones?  United States: the next-generation testbed The United States has the broadest geothermal innovation ecosystem in this group, with a mature conventional base in the West and a fast-growing next-generation pipeline. The main policy signal in 2026 is the Department of Energy’s US$171.5 million funding opportunity for next-generation geothermal field-scale tests, exploration...
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Alphaxioms Interviews Rystad Energy: Geothermal's Inflection Point, Policy, and Drilling Breakthroughs

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Geothermal at an Inflection Point: Why Policy, Conventional Resources, and Drilling Breakthroughs Will Define the Next Decade This interview was conducted by Robert Buluma on behalf of Alphaxioms,  responses delivered by  Alexandra Gerken Product manager, Geothermal solution at Rystad Energy   Introduction: The Strategic Crossroads for Geothermal Geothermal energy is entering a decisive phase. After decades of steady but regionally concentrated development, the sector now faces a confluence of technological innovation, policy ambition, and market demand that could either unlock global scale or confine geothermal to niche applications. Alexandra Gerken, Product Manager for Geothermal Solutions at  Rystad Energy , offers a clear-eyed assessment of where the industry stands, which technologies will drive near-term growth, and what must happen for geothermal to become a globally significant source of firm, low-carbon power. Her analysis emphasizes three pillars: the imme...
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North America Geothermal Energy Investment Opportunities, Companies, Resources, and Market Outlook

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Investment Opportunities in North American Geothermal Energy North America is entering a new investment cycle in geothermal energy. The United States offers the region’s deepest commercial market and the largest advanced-geothermal pipeline; Mexico provides proven high-temperature volcanic resources and an established utility-scale industry; while Canada presents an earlier-stage opportunity centered on sedimentary-basin geothermal, direct-use heating, closed-loop systems, and oil-and-gas technology transfer. The investment case now extends well beyond conventional geothermal power plants. It includes enhanced geothermal systems, advanced closed-loop systems, geothermal heat pumps, district heating, industrial heat, geothermal storage, lithium extraction from geothermal brines, data-center power, and hybrid renewable-energy projects. In the United States, utilities had already procured or agreed to procure 1,007 MW of next-generation geothermal capacity through 12 power-purchase agreem...
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PT Geo Dipa Energi Launches Strategic Minor Overhaul Tender for Dieng Unit 1 to Strengthen Geothermal Reliability

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
PT Geo Dipa Energi Opens Tender for Minor Overhaul of Dieng Unit 1 in 2026 Image: Indonesian Geothermal power plant PT Geo Dipa Energi (Persero) has opened a tender for the minor overhaul of the Dieng Geothermal Power Plant Unit 1 in 2026, signaling a continued focus on preserving the reliability of one of Indonesia’s most important geothermal assets. The procurement is aimed at selecting a qualified contractor with proven experience in turbine and generator maintenance for thermal power plants, underscoring the technical complexity and operational importance of the work. The tender, identified as RKS-004-PST/GDE/I/2026, uses a post-qualification bidding method and applies strict administrative, technical, and safety requirements. The schedule places document registration and collection between 26 and 28 January 2026, followed by a mandatory RKS explanation session and field visit on 29 January 2026. Procurement Scope and Process The procurement procedure requires prospective bidders...
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New Mexico Tribal Geothermal Development: Energy Sovereignty, Jobs, Investment

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
New Mexico’s Tribal Lands Poised for Geothermal Development: Opportunity, Challenges, and Pathways to Energy Sovereignty Image:  Located in Lordsburg, Lightning Dock is the only utility scale geothermal power plant in New Mexico. (BLM New Mexico via Flickr) Why geothermal matters for New Mexico tribes, nations, and pueblos Geothermal energy uses heat from the earth to produce electricity or heat buildings directly. For New Mexico — a state with abundant subsurface heat resources — geothermal offers a reliable, low‑emission complement to wind and solar. Unlike intermittent renewables, geothermal provides baseload power capable of supporting grid stability and reducing reliance on fossil fuels. For tribal communities, geothermal has particular appeal: it aligns with many Indigenous values around stewardship, can be developed with relatively low water demand compared with some thermal technologies, and offers long‑term revenue, jobs, and enhanced local control over energy resources. E...
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"US Geothermal Tax Credits 2026: What the IRA/45Q Changes Mean for Developers"

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
US Geothermal Tax Credits in 2026: What Is Actually Still Alive After OBBBA For an industry that spent more than a decade building financial models around a stable federal incentive structure, 2026 has been a year of whiplash. The 30% federal geothermal tax credit that developers and homeowners built forecasts around is gone in one form and still alive in another, and even the IRS’s own public guidance has been confusing enough to trigger uncertainty across the market. That confusion is not a minor clerical issue. It is shaping investment decisions, contractor sales pitches, homeowner timelines, and project finance assumptions right now. If you work in geothermal, the key question is no longer whether federal incentives exist, but which incentive applies, to which project type, and under what ownership structure. The law that changed the timeline To understand where things stand in 2026, you have to start with the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which created a long runway for clean e...
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Green Therma Selects H&P to Drill Denmark’s Longest Geothermal Well

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
Green Therma Selects H&P to Drill Denmark’s Longest Geothermal Well for Aalborg Heat4Ever Demonstration Denmark is moving from geothermal ambition to execution. Green Therma has selected Helmerich & Payne to drill the Heat4Ever demonstration well near Aalborg, a project that could become one of the country’s most technically ambitious geothermal developments and a meaningful test of closed-loop district heating.   A milestone for Danish geothermal The Aalborg Heat4Ever project matters because it is designed to prove that geothermal heat can be delivered without relying on a natural hot-water reservoir. Instead of producing groundwater from a conventional geothermal field, the system uses a closed-loop pipe-in-pipe design that circulates the same fluid downhole, heats it in contact with hot rock, and returns it to the surface for district heating use.  That distinction is important for Denmark, where district heating is already a major part of the energy system ...
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Geothermal Innovation, Superhot Systems, Social License, and the Future of Global Geothermal Energy

By Robert Buluma Alphaxioms
In this interview, Dr. Amel Barich, Founder & CEO of Geoscience Research and Communications (GRC) , shares insights into the future of geothermal energy, covering superhot geothermal systems, advanced drilling, international collaboration, social license to operate, developing-country opportunities, and the growing role of geothermal in integrated energy systems.  Image : Dr. Amel Barich Founder & CEO, Geoscience Research and Communications (GRC) Geoscientist | Geothermal R&D&I | Social License to Operate Q1. Could you briefly introduce yourself and describe your current role in advancing geothermal innovation? I am a geoscientist and geothermal professional with a background spanning geothermal research and innovation, international collaboration, policy and science diplomacy, stakeholder engagement, and strategic communication. Over the past decade, I have worked from Iceland across major European and international geothermal initiatives, leading collaborative R...
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