Skip to main content

Just In

Eavor Demobilizes Rigs in Geretsried: What It Means for Closed-Loop Geothermal Investors, Heat Markets, and Project Risk

Eavor Demobilizes Rigs from Geretsried: What It Really Means for Closed-Loop Geothermal For three years, two drilling rigs on a farm estate near Geretsried, a Bavarian town about 40 km south of Munich, stood as the symbol of the world's most ambitious closed-loop geothermal experiment. Now in October 2026,  Eavor Technologies, the Calgary-based developer of the Eavor-Loop, has told the town and its heating utility that both rigs would leave the site . The company said keeping idle rigs and specialist services on site was costly, and that releasing them would help put the project in the strongest position to continue with Loop 2 once its commercial structure is reworked . On the surface, this is a logistics decision. Underneath, it is one of the clearest signals yet about where first-of-a-kind geothermal technology stands, and how hard it is to turn a technical proof into a bankable business. This article explains exactly what happened, what the move means and what it does not mean...

Kenya Suspends Microsoft G42 Data Center Over Energy Crisis

Kenya Halts $1B Microsoft–G42 Data Center as Power Limits Stall AI Ambitions
Introduction

In May 2024, during a high-profile visit by President William Ruto to Washington, D.C., Kenya unveiled a bold digital leap forward. In partnership with Microsoft and UAE-based AI firm G42, the country announced a $1 billion investment anchored on a geothermal-powered hyperscale data center in Olkaria.

The vision was transformative: establish East Africa’s first Azure cloud region, unlock AI innovation—including Swahili-language models—and cement Kenya’s status as Africa’s digital gateway.

But by May 2026, that vision has hit a wall.

The project is now effectively suspended, with one central issue standing in the way—power. As President Ruto bluntly put it, a single hyperscale data center could require up to 1,000 MW, nearly a third of Kenya’s total installed capacity. The implication was stark: powering it could mean depriving millions of electricity.

This is no ordinary delay. It’s a defining moment—where Africa’s digital ambitions collide with the hard physics of energy infrastructure.


The Vision: A Digital Powerhouse in the Rift Valley

At the heart of the initiative was a futuristic data center campus to be built at the KenGen Green Energy Park in Olkaria—roughly 100 km from Nairobi.

What the Project Promised

  • Hyperscale Data Center: Starting at ~100 MW, with ambitions to scale toward 1 GW
  • Azure Cloud Region: Low-latency services for East Africa
  • AI Ecosystem: Local language models, innovation hubs, and digital skills training
  • Connectivity Boost: Expanded internet access and last-mile infrastructure
  • Sustainability: Powered by Kenya’s geothermal energy, offering 24/7 renewable baseload

The project aligned perfectly with Kenya’s “Silicon Savannah” ambitions and its broader strategy to lead Africa’s digital transformation.

Geothermal energy made Olkaria especially attractive. Kenya already generates a large share of its electricity from geothermal sources, making it one of the cleanest grids in Africa. Unlike solar and wind, geothermal provides constant, reliable power—ideal for data centers that require uninterrupted energy.


The Reality Check: Power Constraints Take Center Stage

Despite the optimism, Kenya’s total installed electricity capacity sits at roughly 3,000–3,300 MW. Peak demand has already crossed 2,400 MW and continues to rise due to urbanization, industrial growth, and electrification efforts.

Hyperscale data centers operate differently from typical industrial loads. They demand:

  • Continuous, high-quality power
  • Redundant supply systems
  • Near-zero downtime

Even the initial phase of the project would have significantly strained the grid. Scaling toward hundreds of megawatts—or a full gigawatt—would be impossible without massive new generation capacity.

Transmission losses, aging infrastructure, and grid inefficiencies further complicate the situation. Estimates suggest system losses of over 20%, meaning a significant portion of generated electricity never reaches end users.

The result: a reality check that forced policymakers to pause and reassess.


Kenya’s Energy Landscape: Strengths and Gaps

Strengths

  • High share of renewable energy in the generation mix
  • World-class geothermal resources in the Rift Valley
  • Established energy institutions and ongoing geothermal expansion
  • Strong long-term policy frameworks

Challenges

  • Slow growth in grid-connected capacity
  • Rapidly increasing electricity demand
  • Transmission and distribution bottlenecks
  • High infrastructure financing needs
  • Long development timelines for large-scale projects

The government has set an ambitious target of reaching 10,000 MW by 2030—more than triple current capacity. Achieving this will require massive investment in generation, transmission, and storage.


Africa’s Bigger Picture: AI Meets Infrastructure Limits

Kenya’s situation reflects a broader continental challenge.

Africa’s data center market is growing, but remains small compared to global standards. Countries like South Africa, Nigeria, and Egypt are ahead, yet all face similar constraints—especially power availability.

AI-driven data centers are even more energy-intensive than traditional cloud infrastructure. Without reliable, scalable electricity, digital ambitions stall.

However, there is a potential upside: large data centers can act as “anchor clients,” justifying new power investments through long-term energy contracts. This model—linking digital infrastructure with dedicated energy supply—may become essential for future projects.


Stakeholder Reactions

Government

Officials frame the suspension as a necessary adjustment rather than a failure. The situation is being used to highlight the urgency of expanding power infrastructure.

Tech Industry

Microsoft and G42 have remained relatively quiet, but there are indications of a shift toward phased development or alternative strategies aligned with current grid realities.

Local Industry

Analysts acknowledge the disappointment but agree that the energy constraints are real. Smaller data center projects continue to move forward, suggesting the market is still active—just more cautious.

Civil Society

Some voices question whether scarce energy resources should prioritize households and industry over large-scale data centers. Others point to environmental considerations such as water use and land impact.

Investors

Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. Kenya’s fundamentals are strong, but execution risks—especially in energy—are now more visible.


Lessons and the Path Forward

This episode offers critical insights for Kenya and the broader African market:

1. Energy First, Ambition Second

Digital infrastructure must be grounded in realistic energy planning.

2. Build in Phases

Start small, prove viability, then scale gradually.

3. Pair Data with Power

Integrate data center development with dedicated energy projects.

4. Upgrade the Grid

Invest in transmission, reduce losses, and modernize infrastructure.

5. Unlock Financing

Leverage private capital, green bonds, and development finance.

6. Think Regionally

Use cross-border power trade to stabilize supply.

7. Embrace Efficiency

Adopt advanced cooling systems and optimize energy use through AI.


Conclusion: A Strategic Pause, Not the End

The suspension of the Microsoft–G42 data center is a wake-up call—but not a dead end.

Kenya still holds strong advantages: abundant geothermal resources, a young and tech-savvy population, and growing international interest. The setback may ultimately lead to better planning, stronger infrastructure, and more sustainable growth.

Africa’s AI ambitions are not fading—they are evolving.

For Kenya, the next few years will be critical. If energy capacity expands as planned and grid reliability improves, projects like the Olkaria data center could return—stronger and more viable.

The dream of a geothermal-powered digital hub is still alive.

It’s just waiting for the power to catch up.

Related: Geothermal Data Centers: Rewriting the Water-Energy Equation

See also:The Heat Beneath the Cloud: How Geothermal Energy Is Redefining Data Centers

Connect with us: LinkedIn, X

Source: Business Insider Africa

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Ijen vs Zanskar: Blind Geothermal Energy Discovery and Development

Ijen’s Blind Geothermal System vs. Zanskar’s AI-Discovered Resources: Two Models for Finding Hidden Heat The geothermal industry is entering a new phase in which the most valuable resources may no longer be the fields marked by obvious hot springs, geysers, fumaroles, or steaming ground. Increasingly, developers are targeting “blind” or hidden geothermal systems,reservoirs that lack clear surface expressions but can still contain the temperature, permeability, and fluid needed for commercial power generation. Two examples illustrate how different parts of the industry are approaching this challenge. In Indonesia, the Blawan-Ijen geothermal field in East Java was developed through geological interpretation, magnetotelluric imaging, conceptual modelling, and drilling. The project is now operating commercially, with its first phase delivering approximately 35 MW to the Java grid under a 30-year power purchase agreement.  In the United States, Zanskar Geothermal & Minerals is using...

Eavor Demobilizes Rigs in Geretsried: What It Means for Closed-Loop Geothermal Investors, Heat Markets, and Project Risk

Eavor Demobilizes Rigs from Geretsried: What It Really Means for Closed-Loop Geothermal For three years, two drilling rigs on a farm estate near Geretsried, a Bavarian town about 40 km south of Munich, stood as the symbol of the world's most ambitious closed-loop geothermal experiment. Now in October 2026,  Eavor Technologies, the Calgary-based developer of the Eavor-Loop, has told the town and its heating utility that both rigs would leave the site . The company said keeping idle rigs and specialist services on site was costly, and that releasing them would help put the project in the strongest position to continue with Loop 2 once its commercial structure is reworked . On the surface, this is a logistics decision. Underneath, it is one of the clearest signals yet about where first-of-a-kind geothermal technology stands, and how hard it is to turn a technical proof into a bankable business. This article explains exactly what happened, what the move means and what it does not mean...

Vercana Electric Rig Advances Geothermal Brine Lithium Extraction Economics

Electric-Rig Direct Lithium Extraction From Geothermal Brine: The Economics of Vercana Versus Ormat Vulcan Energy Resources is pursuing an integrated model that combines geothermal drilling, direct lithium extraction, renewable electricity and industrial heat. Through its Vercana subsidiary, the company is also using electric drilling equipment designed to support the development of its Lionheart project in Germany’s Upper Rhine Valley. The approach differs from the conventional geothermal model represented by Ormat Technologies, whose core business remains geothermal power generation, equipment, project development and energy storage rather than commercial lithium recovery from geothermal brine.  The economic question is broader than whether an electric drilling rig costs less to operate than a diesel rig. The more important issue is whether electric drilling, geothermal energy and direct lithium extraction can create a more valuable integrated project than a conventional geotherm...

IID Secures Major, Local Geothermal Agreement to Strengthen Reliability

IID Secures 86 MW of Geothermal Power in Major Salton Sea Agreement The Imperial Irrigation District has signed 10-year agreements with BHE Renewables, through its CalEnergy subsidiary, to secure 86 megawatts of around-the-clock geothermal power from two established projects in California’s Imperial Valley. The agreement will strengthen IID’s electricity reliability, support renewable-energy compliance and help meet growing demand across the Imperial and Coachella valleys. The new contracts cover 44 MW from the Salton Sea 4 geothermal project and 42 MW from the Leathers geothermal project. Deliveries are scheduled to begin on January 1, 2027, giving IID access to dependable renewable electricity during a period of rising summer demand and increasing pressure on power systems across the American West. The agreement represents an important step in IID’s long-term resource planning. It combines existing geothermal generation with additional capacity from the Yuma Cogeneration facility in ...

California Court Orders New Environmental Review for Imperial County Geothermal Lithium Project

California Appeals Court Orders New Environmental Review for Imperial County Geothermal–Lithium Project Image: California Salton Lake Sea Hell’s Kitchen geothermal and lithium extraction plan sent back for deeper water, air-quality and mitigation analysis under CEQA A California appeals court has ordered Imperial County to conduct a more rigorous environmental review of the proposed Hell’s Kitchen geothermal power plant and lithium extraction project near the Salton Sea. The Fourth District Court of Appeal found that the county’s original environmental impact report (EIR) did not adequately address long-term water availability, enforceable mitigation measures for water shortages, or potential air-quality impacts tied to the receding Salton Sea. The ruling partially reverses a lower court decision and remands the case to Imperial County Superior Court, requiring the county and project developer Controlled Thermal Resources to address the identified deficiencies before the project can m...

Maryland Geothermal Rebate Program 2026: Residential Heating and Cooling Incentives Drive Strong Demand

Maryland’s Geothermal Rebate Program  FY26 Geothermal Rebate Program is entering its final stretch with funding already oversubscribed, which is a strong sign that homeowner interest in geothermal heating and cooling is rising quickly in the state.  The program offers a $3,000 rebate for eligible new geothermal heating and cooling systems for Maryland residents in single-family detached homes and townhomes, but the application portal is now closed while the state works through the existing queue. That update matters because it shows how incentive programs can move from a policy idea into real household demand very quickly. A program with a $150,000 budget does not usually run out of room unless homeowners, contractors, and installers all see geothermal as a practical investment. In Maryland’s case, the fact that requests exceeded the full FY26 budget suggests the market is responding to both energy-cost concerns and long-term efficiency goals. What the program offers The Maryl...

Geothermal Projects In Africa, Countries Overview

 Geothermal Projects in Africa: Country-wise Overview By : Robert Buluma Africa is increasingly turning to geothermal energy as a sustainable solution to meet its growing electricity demands. With abundant geothermal resources spread across the continent, several countries have embarked on ambitious projects to harness this clean and renewable energy source. Let's delve into the geothermal projects in various African countries, highlighting key players and prospects. Algeria Algeria is exploring its geothermal potential, particularly in the northern regions. Although in the early stages, initiatives are underway to assess feasibility and potential locations for geothermal power plants.  Burundi Burundi has shown interest in developing its geothermal resources, primarily in the northwest region near Lake Tanganyika. The government is actively seeking partnerships with international firms to kickstart exploration and development efforts. Comoros The Comoros Islands are situated ...

Endurance Energy Tests World's First Subsea Geothermal Well at Axial Seamount

Endurance Energy Tests the World's First Subsea Geothermal Well: What the Axial Seamount Demonstration Really Proved What if geothermal energy did not need a power plant on land? What if electricity could be produced directly from the Earth's heat beneath the ocean, with generators sitting on the seafloor and sending power to coastal grids? On October 19, 2026, Seattle-based startup Endurance Energy announced a major step toward that idea. The company said it had drilled and completed the world's first subsea geothermal well and placed a 3-ton test power plant nearly a mile beneath the Pacific. It also reported net-positive electricity from heat at an active underwater volcano, according to its announcement on PR Newswire. The headline numbers are modest. The Adélie prototype produced more electricity than it used for about 8.7 seconds. During that time it delivered a median net output of about 2 kilowatts and a peak of 16.5 kilowatts. One detail matters more than any other...

"US Geothermal Tax Credits 2026: What the IRA/45Q Changes Mean for Developers"

US Geothermal Tax Credits in 2026: What Is Actually Still Alive After OBBBA For an industry that spent more than a decade building financial models around a stable federal incentive structure, 2026 has been a year of whiplash. The 30% federal geothermal tax credit that developers and homeowners built forecasts around is gone in one form and still alive in another, and even the IRS’s own public guidance has been confusing enough to trigger uncertainty across the market. That confusion is not a minor clerical issue. It is shaping investment decisions, contractor sales pitches, homeowner timelines, and project finance assumptions right now. If you work in geothermal, the key question is no longer whether federal incentives exist, but which incentive applies, to which project type, and under what ownership structure. The law that changed the timeline To understand where things stand in 2026, you have to start with the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which created a long runway for clean e...

KenGen Risks Losing Olkaria Geothermal Wells Over Licence Error

KenGen Risks Losing Olkaria Wells Over 18-Year Licence Blunder Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen) faces a serious legal and operational risk at Olkaria after an error in the coordinates of its geothermal licence left part of the company’s wells, steam infrastructure and other assets outside its legally recognised area. The licensing mistake, made nearly two decades ago, remains unresolved despite the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum acknowledging the problem in 2017.  The dispute has raised questions about the security of KenGen’s investments, the government’s management of geothermal resources and the potential consequences for Kenya’s electricity supply. Olkaria is the country’s most important geothermal centre and accounts for the overwhelming majority of Kenya’s installed geothermal generation capacity.  Licence Error Exposes Strategic Assets The problem dates back to September 19, 2008, when the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum issued KenGen a licence covering ...