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Global Geothermal Power Market Review 2026.

Global Geothermal Power: Policies, Funding, Wells, Strengths, Opportunities and Barriers Geothermal is moving into a broader investment cycle. In 2026, the story is no longer limited to volcanic power plants in a few classic markets; it now includes enhanced geothermal systems, closed-loop designs, district heating, superhot rock, lithium from brines and industrial heat. Across the United States, Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Iceland, France and Italy, the sector is being shaped by a simple question: who is de-risking the first wells, and who is ready to finance the next ones?  United States: the next-generation testbed The United States has the broadest geothermal innovation ecosystem in this group, with a mature conventional base in the West and a fast-growing next-generation pipeline. The main policy signal in 2026 is the Department of Energy’s US$171.5 million funding opportunity for next-generation geothermal field-scale tests, exploration...

Dongying's 162°C Geothermal Breakthrough and the Path to Monetization

Unearthing the Future: Dongying's 162°C Geothermal Breakthrough and the Path to Monetization



In the heart of Shandong Province's Dongying Port Economic Development Zone, a remarkable spectacle unfolded on January 9, 2026. From the depths of the earth, at a staggering 4002.17 meters below the surface, hot water surged forth from the "Dong Gao Re 1" well, reaching an outlet temperature of 138°C and a bottom-hole temperature of 162°C. This wasn't just a gush of steam and water; it was a beacon of hope for China's energy transition. Enveloped in a misty plume that caught the winter sun's rays, creating subtle rainbows, this event marked a pivotal moment in the nation's pursuit of sustainable energy under the "dual carbon" goals—aiming for carbon peak by 2030 and neutrality by 2060.

The announcement came during a press conference on the "Deep High-Temperature Geothermal Resources Exploration in the Yellow River Basin of Shandong Province," hosted by the Shandong Provincial Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources (referred to as the Shandong Geological Bureau). Bureau Secretary and Director Zhang Chengwei detailed the well's achievements: a comprehensive geological survey spanning approximately 4,000 square kilometers, a daily water output of 101.3 cubic meters per hour, and the potential to redefine energy paradigms in eastern China. As the National Development and Reform Commission pushes for non-fossil energy to constitute 25% of consumption by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, geothermal energy emerges as a stable, adjustable baseload renewable source, perfectly aligned with this vision.

This breakthrough challenges long-held beliefs about geothermal distribution in China. Traditionally, high-temperature geothermal resources have been associated with the tectonically active western regions like Tibet, Yunnan, and western Sichuan. Eastern areas, such as the sedimentary basins of northern Shandong, were deemed suitable only for medium-to-low temperature resources. However, Wei Shanming, a senior engineer and project lead from the Shandong Geological Bureau's 801 Team, emphasized that the "Dong Gao Re 1" well shatters this "west-strong, east-weak" pattern. By adopting a "extraction-irrigation balance, heat extraction without water consumption" model, this well paves the way for diversifying energy structures in Dongying—a city historically dominated by petroleum and petrochemicals—and offers a national blueprint for addressing structural energy imbalances.

Overcoming Geological Skepticism: From Theory to Reality

The path to this discovery was fraught with skepticism. Zhao Zhiqiang, chief engineer of the 801 Team, recalled the debates that shadowed the project from inception. Many experts argued that while the subsurface at around 4,000 meters in this region could theoretically harbor heat, the likelihood of flowing hot water was negligible. The prevailing view held that sedimentary basins like those in northern Shandong primarily feature medium-low temperature sandstone reservoirs. Deeper carbonate rock layers, they contended, suffer from poor karst fissure development below 2,000 meters. As depth and temperature increase, calcium and magnesium ions in the water precipitate, filling cracks and impeding heat conduction and water storage.

Undeterred, the Shandong Geological Bureau revisited these assumptions through an extensive survey. They pioneered the "sedimentary basin buried hill hydrothermal" theory, positing that buried hill structures—ancient underground mountain ranges riddled with pores and fissures—serve as ideal heat storage spaces. These formations can accumulate and retain deep geothermal energy, creating localized "underground heat treasuries" even in eastern basins.

Translating theory into practice required surmounting a cascade of technical hurdles, from locating the heat to extracting it efficiently. The region's deep karst reservoirs boast thick layers with well-developed fissures and ample storage space, providing innate advantages for high-temperature geothermal formation. Yet, uneven fissure development, poor connectivity, and mineral blockages often result in the infamous "heat without flow" dilemma—abundant heat trapped without viable pathways for extraction.

To address this, the bureau developed "high-temperature acidification fracturing technology." As Zhang Chengwei explained, this involves injecting specialized acids into the reservoir under high pressure, dissolving obstructions and widening micro-fractures. It's akin to performing minimally invasive surgery on the Earth, enhancing permeability. In trials, this technique boosted the target reservoir's conductivity by 12 times and raised outlet temperatures by 18°C, proving effective for layers below 3,500 meters under extreme heat and pressure.

Sustainability is paramount in geothermal development. Unchecked extraction can deplete aquifers, cause land subsidence, or contaminate groundwater—issues that have historically limited large-scale adoption. The core principle here is "extraction-irrigation balance, heat extraction without water consumption." In practice, geothermal systems function like natural boilers: hot water is pumped from production wells, heat is transferred via exchangers, and the cooled water is reinjected into the same aquifer through irrigation wells. This closed-loop ensures resource renewal and environmental protection.

Wei Shanming assured that the "Dong Gao Re 1" well's future operations will adhere strictly to this model, balancing utilization with ecological stewardship. Geothermal's edge lies in its reliability—unlike intermittent wind or solar, it operates continuously, unaffected by weather or time of day.

Nationally, China's geothermal resources equate to about 12,500 billion tons of standard coal, with direct utilization leading globally for years. However, high-temperature hydrothermal resources comprise just 1% of the total, mostly in remote western areas with limited consumption and high transport costs. Eastern demand hubs, like coastal and North China plains, were long classified as medium-low temperature zones. The "Dong Gao Re 1" success, bolstered by a integrated system of "target optimization, efficient drilling, and high-temperature extraction and monitoring," upends this narrative. It propels geothermal exploration into a precision era and accelerates Dongying's shift from oil dependency to diversified energy.

Monetizing the Heat: Real-World Applications and Economic Impacts

Technology's true worth manifests in the marketplace, and Dongying's geothermal ventures are already yielding tangible benefits. In Niu Zhuang Town, amid winter's chill, the Shuang Fu Flower Base's greenhouses maintain a balmy 26°C without coal-fired boilers or smoky emissions. Heat exchangers silently transfer geothermal warmth, ensuring optimal growth for orchids.

Li Binghai, general manager of Shandong Shuang Fu Flower Co., Ltd., broke down the economics: Geothermal heating costs about 15 yuan per square meter, versus 40 yuan for coal, saving 25 yuan per square meter. For their 250,000 square meter facility, this translates to annual savings of around 5 million yuan after operational costs. Beyond savings, stability enhances quality—vice general manager Li Weiwei noted that coal's fluctuating temperatures required constant monitoring, whereas geothermal's consistency, controllable via smartphone, promotes uniform growth, extended blooming, and innovation in varieties. Since 2019, the base has become one of Jiangbei's largest flower producers, exporting orchids to Vietnam, Russia, Uzbekistan, and beyond.

These benefits extend to residents. A local worker shared that her Niu Zhuang apartment uses geothermal heating at 21 yuan per square meter—matching urban rates—providing affordable, clean warmth.

Niu Zhuang exemplifies medium-temperature geothermal's maturity in livelihoods and agriculture: Water at about 80°C from 1,950 meters is extracted for community heating, dropping to 40°C post-exchange; residual heat warms agricultural greenhouses; finally, water is reinjected, closing the loop without consumption.

In contrast, the "Dong Gao Re 1" well's 138°C output targets higher-value applications like power generation and industrial steam. Preliminary estimates peg its annual heat release at 679,000 gigajoules, equivalent to 27,000 tons of standard coal. For electricity, it could generate 25,200 kWh daily, powering nearly 10,000 people. As steam, it yields 94,000 tons annually, replacing 18,800 tons of coal and cutting CO2 emissions by 48,900 tons.

Zhang Yunfeng, secretary and dean of the Shandong Geological and Mineral Engineering Survey Institute, projected that scaling the well and its field could generate 450 million yuan in annual economic value, benefiting 180,000 residents. Through "temperature-matched, cascaded utilization," Dongying is forging a chain: industrial steam to green power supply, then residential heating and facility agriculture.

Geothermal power stands out for its cleanliness, renewability, stability, and efficiency. The International Energy Agency's "Geothermal Future" report ranks China's potential second globally, forecasting significant clean power contributions by 2050.

Liu Xiangyuan, deputy director of the Shandong Geological Bureau, highlighted similar geological prospects in Dezhou, Binzhou, and other Shandong areas, unlocking broader economic activation.

Broader Implications: Policy, Challenges, and the Road Ahead

This breakthrough aligns with national strategies. Under the "dual carbon" framework, geothermal's role in reducing fossil fuel reliance is crucial. The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes cause-specific renewable development, including geothermal, to boost non-fossil shares.

Yet, challenges persist. Scaling requires investment in infrastructure, like advanced drilling and reinjection systems. Regulatory frameworks must evolve to incentivize private participation while ensuring environmental safeguards. Public awareness is key to fostering acceptance, especially in transitioning oil-dependent regions like Dongying.

Economically, monetization hinges on innovative models. Public-private partnerships could fund exploration, with revenues from heat sales, power, or carbon credits. Integrating geothermal into smart grids enhances viability, providing baseload support to renewables.

Environmentally, proper management mitigates risks. The "extraction-irrigation balance" minimizes subsidence and pollution, but monitoring is essential. Research into enhanced geothermal systems (EGS)—fracturing dry hot rocks—could expand resources beyond hydrothermal.

Socially, benefits are profound. In rural areas, geothermal boosts agriculture, creating jobs and improving livelihoods. Urban applications reduce heating costs and emissions, enhancing quality of life. For Dongying, this diversifies beyond oil, fostering resilience against market volatility.

Looking ahead, the "Dong Gao Re 1" well is a catalyst. If replicated across eastern basins, it could unlock trillions in value, supporting China's green transition. International collaboration—sharing technologies with geothermal leaders like Iceland or New Zealand—could accelerate progress.

In essence, Dongying's geothermal saga is more than a technical feat; it's a narrative of innovation overcoming doubt, harnessing Earth's bounty for a sustainable future. As steam rises from the well, so does hope for a cleaner, energy-secure China.


Source: Sina 

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