Europe’s Geothermal Revolution Is Coming: EGEC Demands a 250 GW Target by 2040 – Here’s Why 2026 Will Be Make-or-Break
Published: December 9, 2025
On 5 December 2025, the European Geothermal Energy Council (EGEC) dropped a bombshell policy paper with a crystal-clear message to Brussels:
Europe is sleeping on the biggest indigenous, baseload, 24/7 renewable energy source under its feet , and it’s time to wake up.
Titled ,The European Geothermal Strategy and Action Plan , Making Europe competitive, secure and affordable, the document is the strongest industry call yet for the European Commission to publish a dedicated European Geothermal Strategy and Action Plan in Q1 2026.
And the ambition is massive: 250 GW of installed geothermal capacity by 2040 a six-fold increase from today’s ~44 GW (mostly district heating and a handful of power plants).
Why Now? Because Europe Can No Longer Afford to Wait
Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Europe has been laser-focused on three things:
Ending energy dependence on Moscow
Bringing sky-high energy prices down
Decarbonising heavy industry to stay globally competitive
Geothermal checks every single box:
100 % European resource
Zero fuel imports , ever
Price-stable for 30–50 years
Dispatchable electricity + industrial heat up to 450 °C
Perfect for replacing gas boilers in district heating networks
Yet geothermal still receives less than 1 % of the EU’s clean-energy funding and attention. EGEC says that has to change dramatically and immediately.
The 9-Point Masterplan EGEC Is Pushing for 2026
1. Legally-binding EU target: 250 GW geothermal by 2040 (all uses: power, heating/cooling, lithium, hydrogen, storage)
2. European Geothermal Charter signed by Commission, Member States and industry mirroring the successful Offshore Wind Charter
3.Geothermal Industrial Alliance to coordinate the entire supply chain from drilling rigs to heat pumps
4.Dedicated EU financial instruments (blending grants, guarantees, EIB loans, InvestEU) to de-risk exploration and leverage tens of billions in private capital
5. Fast-track permitting: maximum 18 months for geothermal projects + one-stop-shops in every Member State
6. Open geological data,all subsurface data paid by taxpayers must be public within 12 months
7. Tripartite contracts of difference between governments, off-takers (industry) and geothermal developers for long-term price certainty
8. National & regional geothermal roadmaps with mandatory milestones, supported by peer-to-peer twinning (e.g., Iceland mentoring Romania, Netherlands mentoring Poland)
9.Make geothermal a pillar of the Global Gateway, exporting European technology and know-how instead of importing LNG
Political Momentum Is Finally Aligning
December 2024, EU Energy Ministers explicitly called for a geothermal action plan
January 2024 , European Parliament adopted a pro-geothermal resolution
March 2025 , Commissioner Dan Jørgensen publicly promised an action plan before end-March 2026
December 2025 , EGEC paper gives the industry blueprint the Commission has been waiting for
Everything is lined up. 2026 is the make-or-break year.
This Isn’t Pie-in-the-Sky , It’s Already Happening
Munich is building the largest geothermal heating plant in Europe (2028 online)
Paris already heats 250 000 homes with geothermal
Netherlands aims for 50 % of homes on geothermal heating by 2050
Finland’s Helen just commissioned a 60 MW deep geothermal plant under Espoo
Eden Project (UK) and Cornwall are drilling 5 km deep for power + heat
The technology works. The geology is there. Only political will and financing are missing.
Final Word from EGEC President
“Wind and solar are great, but they cannot provide the 200–300 TWh of industrial heat Europe needs to decarbonise steel, chemicals and cement. Geothermal can , and it’s under our cities right now. If the Commission adopts this strategy in 2026, Europe will become the world leader in deep geothermal, create a million jobs and finally end energy dependence forever.”
What Happens Next?
Mark your calendar: Q1 2026, European Commission expected to publish its official “Action Plan on Geothermal Energy”.
If it includes the 250 GW target and the key measures above → Europe will trigger the biggest energy transformation since North Sea oil.
If it’s watered down → we’ll still be importing expensive LNG in 2040.
The geothermal industry has done its homework. Now it’s up to Brussels.
Download the full EGEC policy paper here → https://www.egec.org (published 5 Dec 2025)
Share this post the more people who know about Europe’s underground energy revolution, the harder it becomes for policymakers to ignore it.
Source:EGEC
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