Skip to main content

Just In

Top 10 Critical Geothermal Energy Problems Costs Risks Seismicity

Top 10 Geothermal Problems: Why a 24/7 Resource Still Struggles to Scale Image credit : Fida, C.E.O Geosilica... This is what scaling looks like downhole in geothermal pipes Intelligence; Strategy for the Geothermal Decade Geothermal energy is often presented as the clean firm resource that can support a renewable electricity system around the clock. It does not depend on sunshine, it can operate through calm weather, and it can provide heat and power for decades. Kenya already relies heavily on geothermal generation , Iceland uses geothermal heat across its economy, and next generation developers are now signing large power contracts with technology companies seeking reliable carbon free electricity. Yet the global geothermal sector remains small compared with solar and wind, with installed electricity capacity still near 16 GW.  That gap is not caused by one obstacle. It is produced by a chain of interlocking problems involving geology, drilling, finance, permitting, public acce...

Kenya’s Geothermal Surge: Menengai, Suswa, Courts, and Cheaper Power

Kenya’s geothermal sector stands at a pivotal crossroads in 2026, blending rapid expansion, legal scrutiny, fresh exploration, and bold affordability measures. 
As Africa’s geothermal leader, Kenya harnesses the Rift Valley’s heat to deliver reliable, clean baseload power that stabilizes the grid amid fluctuating hydro and costly thermal backups. Today, the narrative unfolds across Menengai’s maturing projects, Suswa’s exciting new frontier, courtroom challenges, and policy reforms aimed at cheaper electricity for all.

Menengai: From Vision to Reality with Turbulence

The Menengai field in Nakuru County exemplifies Kenya’s innovative de-risking model. The Geothermal Development Company (GDC) drills high-risk wells and confirms steam resources, then invites private independent power producers (IPPs) to build plants and purchase steam. This approach accelerates investment by removing the biggest uncertainty.

Three 35 MW plants were planned, totaling 105 MW:

- Sosian Energy (Menengai III) — first to connect, supplying power since mid-2023.
- Globeleq (Menengai II) — on track for grid injection by mid-2026.
- OrPower Twenty-Two (Menengai I) — targeting operations by March 2026.

These additions promise greater grid reliability, reduced fossil fuel dependence, and support for rising demand from urbanization, industry, and electrification.

Yet progress faces hurdles. Sosian Energy’s milestone is overshadowed by a significant legal battle. In March 2025, the Environment and Land Court canceled Sosian’s Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) licence, citing inadequate public participation, insufficient community consultation, and missing comprehensive climate impact assessments. The ruling ordered a fresh, inclusive Environmental and Social Impact Assessment. Though the plant generates power, this decision underscores a critical truth: renewable projects must prioritize environmental justice, transparency, and local voices to remain sustainable and legitimate.

Meanwhile, Globeleq advances steadily. Backed by international expertise, its 35 MW plant nears completion, with grid connection expected mid-2026. This timely boost will deliver stable, low-emission power precisely when Kenya needs it most.


Suswa Awakens: A New Frontier Unlocks 300 MW Potential

Adding fresh momentum, GDC flagged off rig mobilization to the Suswa Geothermal Field on January 29, 2026, at Menengai Camp. Acting MD & CEO Stephen Busieney called it a “defining moment,” as heavy equipment rolled out under Kenyan flags and “Road to Suswa” banners.

Located in the southern Rift Valley across Narok and Kajiado Counties, Suswa sits within the dramatic Mount Suswa volcanic complex — a double-caldera feature with visible fumaroles and hot grounds signaling strong geothermal promise.

Experts estimate up to 300 MW potential. Development will proceed in phases: exploration drilling first, then power plants. Suswa becomes GDC’s third active field, alongside Menengai and Baringo-Silali, supporting national targets of 1,681 MW geothermal capacity by 2030 under the Energy Compact.

Community benefits shine through the Suswa Stima initiative, granting locals 20% stake in steam harnessed for power. International partnerships, including with Indonesia’s Pertamina, promise expertise and funding to accelerate progress.

Affordability Drive: Tax Breaks to Cap Tariffs at Sh9/kWh

Despite expansion, high electricity costs burden households and industries. Geothermal remains Kenya’s cheapest stable renewable, but capital-intensive drilling, imported equipment, and financing inflate tariffs.

The Ministry of Energy’s draft National Geothermal Strategy 2026–2036 proposes targeted incentives:

- Tax exemptions on drilling rigs, machinery, and services.
- Power Purchase Agreements extended to 30+ years.
- Reforms for cost-reflective steam tariffs.

The goal: keep wholesale geothermal prices at or below Sh9 per kWh (about 7 US cents). If approved by Parliament, these measures would lower developer costs, improve project bankability, enable more plants, and pass savings to consumers , fueling industrial growth without straining wallets.

The Road Ahead: Balancing Speed, Fairness, and Affordability

Kenya’s geothermal journey weaves together triumphs and tests. Menengai’s IPPs prove the model works, Suswa’s rig move signals bold scaling, and policy reforms target truly affordable clean energy. Yet the Sosian ruling reminds all stakeholders that green progress demands genuine inclusion, robust environmental safeguards, and accountability.

Success hinges on discipline: fast-tracking viable projects, engaging communities meaningfully, attracting investment through smart incentives, and ensuring benefits reach ordinary Kenyans. With Globeleq energizing the grid mid-2026, OrPower following soon, and Suswa exploration underway, the future glows bright.


Geothermal will not only light homes — it will drive Kenya’s industrial and economic rise, if built on foundations that are equitable, sustainable, and affordable for all.


Connect with us: LinkedInX

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Top 10 Critical Geothermal Energy Problems Costs Risks Seismicity

Top 10 Geothermal Problems: Why a 24/7 Resource Still Struggles to Scale Image credit : Fida, C.E.O Geosilica... This is what scaling looks like downhole in geothermal pipes Intelligence; Strategy for the Geothermal Decade Geothermal energy is often presented as the clean firm resource that can support a renewable electricity system around the clock. It does not depend on sunshine, it can operate through calm weather, and it can provide heat and power for decades. Kenya already relies heavily on geothermal generation , Iceland uses geothermal heat across its economy, and next generation developers are now signing large power contracts with technology companies seeking reliable carbon free electricity. Yet the global geothermal sector remains small compared with solar and wind, with installed electricity capacity still near 16 GW.  That gap is not caused by one obstacle. It is produced by a chain of interlocking problems involving geology, drilling, finance, permitting, public acce...

Geothermal Energy Costs: Why Drilling Discipline Decides Bankable Megawatts

Geothermal Isn't Expensive: The Reservoir Always Has the Final Say Somewhere beneath a volcanic ridge, a drill bit is turning through rock that has not moved in two million years. It costs money every second it turns. And nobody on the surface — not the engineer, not the financier, not the minister who announced the megawatts — knows yet whether that well will produce steam or silence. That single moment explains almost everything people get wrong about geothermal energy. Geothermal is routinely described as expensive, slow, capital-hungry and haunted by drilling risk. Investors are reminded that tens of millions can disappear underground before a single megawatt reaches a grid. All of that is true. But it is not the whole truth. The uncomfortable question the industry keeps avoiding is this: is geothermal expensive, or is the way we develop geothermal making it expensive? Those are two completely different problems. One is geology. The other is us. Why Geothermal Refuses to Be...

BLM Utah 2026 Geothermal Lease Sale Opens New Energy Opportunities

BLM Utah 2026 Geothermal Lease Sale: What It Means for U.S. Geothermal Development The Bureau of Land Management’s Utah 2026 Geothermal Lease Sale is a significant signal for the next phase of U.S. geothermal development. As federal agencies continue to prioritize renewable energy on public lands, this project highlights both the practical mechanics of geothermal leasing and the broader policy direction supporting domestic clean energy expansion. For developers, investors, land managers, and energy analysts, the sale offers an important case study in how geothermal projects move from planning into commercial opportunity. Geothermal energy has long been one of the most promising yet underutilized renewable resources in the United States. Unlike solar and wind, geothermal can provide steady baseload power regardless of weather or time of day. That makes it especially valuable in power systems that need reliability, grid stability, and long-duration decarbonization. A lease sale like the ...

EIG Geothermal Catalyst Partners Launches Inaugural Power Planet Investment

EIG’s First Geothermal Bet Signals a New Phase for EGS Financing Image : Thematic image of a geothermal plant EIG Geothermal Catalyst Partners’ inaugural investment in Power Planet is a meaningful signal for the geothermal sector because it links development capital with a project that already has infrastructure, interconnection capacity, and subsurface data on its side . For an industry that often struggles to move from concept to bankable execution, that combination can shorten timelines and reduce risk. Why This Deal Matters The core story is not just that EIG made its first investment; it is that the fund is targeting the middle of the geothermal value chain, where projects need capital to clear technical and commercial hurdles . That matters because enhanced geothermal system, or EGS, projects can be highly promising but capital-intensive, especially before they reach a stage where traditional infrastructure investors feel comfortable stepping in . Power Planet’s Star Peak proje...

DOE Launches Geothermal Center of Excellence to Accelerate U.S. Deployment

DOE launches Geothermal Center of Excellence to push U.S. geothermal toward gigawatt scale The U.S. Department of Energy has launched a new Geothermal Center of Excellence in Golden, Colorado, with a clear mandate: connect industry with the national labs, accelerate geothermal innovation, and help move the technology toward gigawatt-scale deployment. The center is part of DOE’s effort to position geothermal as a more competitive source of reliable baseload electricity in the United States.  The announcement matters because it comes at a time when geothermal is gaining fresh attention from policymakers, developers, and power buyers, especially as data centers and industrial users look for firm clean electricity. DOE says the U.S. already leads the world in geothermal electricity capacity at just over 4 GW, but that current output represents only a fraction of the country’s technical potential. [1] Why DOE created it DOE says the new center is designed to become industry’s main en...

The "Heat-as-a-Service" (HaaS) Business Model: Geothermal Without the CAPEX Nightmare

Heat-as-a-Service takes geothermal from a capital-intensive power project to a financeable, contract-based heat utility: instead of selling electrons, you sell stable, decarbonized heat under long-term contracts that match what industrial customers and investors actually want. Image: A thematic picture of a geothermal power plant By shifting risk and ownership away from end users and toward specialised developers and infrastructure capital, it can unlock geothermal in markets where electricity tariffs are low but demand for reliable, low-carbon process heat is strong. From kWh to “heat-as-a-service” Traditional geothermal projects earn revenue by selling electricity into a grid, often at wholesale prices that barely cover high up-front drilling and plant costs unless there is a feed-in tariff or premium.Many industrial users, however, do not need electricity; they need heat for processes like brewing, greenhouse climate control or pulp and paper production, and they currently buy that ...

The Geopolitics of Critical Minerals: Who Controls the Geothermal Brine Supply Chain?

The Geopolitics of Critical Minerals: Who Controls the Geothermal Brine Supply Chain? The geothermal brine supply chain is quickly becoming a geopolitics story, not just an energy story.  By: Robert Buluma As lithium demand rises and governments race to secure strategic materials, control over underground brines, processing capacity, and export rules may matter as much as who owns the power plant.  Introduction For years, geothermal projects were valued mainly for clean baseload electricity and heat. That is changing because many geothermal fields also contain dissolved lithium and other critical minerals, turning brine into a potential dual-purpose asset: energy plus minerals.  That shift matters because critical mineral supply chains are already highly concentrated, and Europe is actively trying to reduce reliance on single-country suppliers through the Critical Raw Materials Act.  China remains central to lithium processing and broader mineral refining, giving it...

Europe Geothermal Energy Investment Opportunities, Companies, Resources, and Market Outlook

Investment Opportunities in Europe’s Geothermal Energy Market: Country-by-Country Resources, Companies, Challenges, and Growth Prospects Europe is developing one of the world’s most diverse geothermal investment markets. The continent combines mature geothermal electricity industries in Italy, Iceland, and Türkiye with rapidly expanding district-heating markets in France, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Hungary, Denmark, and Switzerland. The most attractive European opportunities are not limited to power generation. Investors can participate in geothermal district heating and cooling, industrial heat, geothermal heat pumps, enhanced geothermal systems, closed-loop systems, thermal storage, lithium extraction, drilling services, equipment manufacturing, and integrated energy networks. The European Geothermal Energy Council reported that ten new geothermal district-heating and cooling systems began operation during 2025, adding approximately 70 MWth of capacity. New systems were report...

Policy, Investment and Corporate Offtake Trends Driving Next‑Gen Geothermal Energy Growth (2026–2030)

Policy and Investment Landscape for Next-Gen Geothermal in 2026–2030 Why 2026 Matters Next-generation geothermal is moving from promising concept to investable infrastructure. The combination of policy support, corporate demand, and better drilling technology is making the sector more relevant to investors and decision-makers. The US Policy Engine The US remains the most important market for next-gen geothermal. Support from federal programs, research initiatives, and bipartisan legislation is helping reduce technical risk and improve investor confidence. Europe’s New Geothermal Push Europe is tightening permitting and improving geothermal rules to speed up deployment. Germany is especially active, while EU-level reforms are pushing for shorter approval timelines and better risk-sharing tools. Emerging Market Openings Countries like Kenya, Indonesia, the Philippines, Chile, and Türkiye are becoming important growth markets. Their combination of strong geothermal resources and rising po...

How AI-Powered Digital Twins Are Transforming Geothermal Reservoir Management

Geothermal Reservoir Digital Twins: How AI Is Transforming Reservoir Management Image : Thematic image of a geothermal heat pump Artificial intelligence and digital twins are quietly rewriting the playbook for geothermal reservoir management. They turn scattered subsurface data into living, predictive models that help operators boost output, cut drilling risk, and extend the productive time. How Geothermal Digital Twins Are Making Reservoirs Smarter, Safer, and More Profitable For decades, geothermal development has been constrained by one brutal fact: you can’t see 3 km underground. You infer, you model, you hope—and sometimes you drill into a dry or underperforming reservoir. AI‑powered geothermal digital twins change that equation by continuously updating subsurface models with real‑time data, making the invisible reservoir behave like a transparent, responsive system. In practice, geothermal digital twins are dynamic software replicas of wells, reservoirs, and surface facilities th...